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NFL Football picks for week 2 (9/17/06 – 9/18/06)
A 9-7 record isn’t a bad way to start the season, but it’s no wonder either. I will try again the second week:
Buffalo at Miami – 6 1/2
Neither team looked too good in week one, but Buffalo gave the Patriots a scare. However, Buffalo’s defense could suffer if Spikes doesn’t play. Miami wins its first home game after a tough loss to the defending champions.
PICK: Miami – 6 1/2
Carolina at Minnesota + 2
The Panthers are bouncing back after the Falcons made them look like fools. The Vikings won on Monday, but didn’t look that special. The Redskins were just worse. I usually like house dogs, but Panthers are used to playing well on the road.
CHOICE: Carolina -2
Cleveland at Cincinnati – 10 1/2
I’ll make this one simple. The Bengals looked good last week and the Browns looked bad. The Bengals have owned this streak recently and their defense will end a poor Cleveland offense.
PICK: Cincinnati – 10 1/2
Detroit to Chicago – 8 1/2
Lots of big spreads this week. Green Bay made the Bears better than they are and I was impressed with the Lions last week holding the defending NFC champion Seahawks to exactly zero touchdowns. Are the Cowardly Lions showing they can play?
CHOICE: Detroit + 8 1/2
Houston vs. Indianapolis – 13
I don’t like asking so many points, but that’s just a mismatch. The Colts playing at home against a struggling team seems like a lock, but I’ve been burned before when things seem this obvious. I’m still debating this one, but for now, I’m going with Indy.
PICK: Indianapolis – 13
New Orleans to Green Bay + 2
I know that traditionally Green Bay doesn’t lose at home. And since they earn points here, it’s a safe bet, isn’t it? Fake. The Packers were shut out by the Bears last week, and the Saints didn’t look too bad. Reggie Bush is the real deal, and Aaron Brooks’ stupid decisions no longer haunt this team. They have a pro bowl QB leading them.
PICK: New Orleans – 2
New York Giants at Philadelphia – 3
Philly looked good last week as McNabb threw three touchdowns and looked like a pro again. The Giants were slightly outplayed by the Colts, but looked pretty good too. It’s one of the best games of the week to watch on TV. I think this one will be close, so I’m going to go with the team to get some points, and I think the Giants will do what it takes to avoid starting the season 0-2.
PICK: New York Giants +3
Oakland to Baltimore – 11 1/2
Even though the Ravens beat the Bucs pretty badly last week, I’m still not convinced. Their defense looked like the Ravens of a few years ago. The Raiders might just be the worst team in football, looking like a high school team as they were embarrassed Monday night against the Chargers. I’m saying the Raiders are bouncing enough to get into the gap.
CHOICE: Oakland + 11 1/2
Tampa Bay to Atlanta – 5 1/2
Tampa should rebound after being beaten by the Ravens last week. Chris Simms is finally starting to look like his dad this weekend as the Bucs have recently owned this streak. With John Abraham listed as questionable, I think the Bucs are pulling this one.
CHOICE: Tampa Bay + 5 1/2
Arizona at Seattle – 7
The Seahawks didn’t look too impressive in their last weakness against the Lions, but I think it had more to do with the Lions improving. This week they are at home and have won the last games against the Cardinals. Although the Cardinals are doing better, they are still beaten on the road this week.
PICK: Seattle – 7
St. Louis to San Francisco +3
3? Only 3? The Rams are a mid-pack team and the 49ers are a bad team. The Rams’ defense is better than the Cardinals, against whom the 49ers scored 27 points. Don’t look for a repeat offensive performance from Gore, Bryant or Smith. Steven Jackson, however, has a field day.
PICK: St. Louis – 3
Kansas City at Denver – 10 1/2
It’s tough for KC without QB Trent Green, who was injured last week. Larry Johnson will take over as the Chiefs keep him at least close. Denver may start Cutler sooner than we think if Plummer continues to play like he did in Week 1.
CHOICE: Kansas City + 10 1/2
New England at the New York Jets +6
The Jets almost looked like a football team last week against the Titans, one of the worst teams in the league. Facing one of the best teams in the league, the Jets will crumble. Pennington is probably the most fragile QB in the NFL and it’s only a matter of time before his season ends. Look for a great day from Dillon, Maroney, Watson and Brady.
PICK: New England -6
Tennessee at San Diego – 11 1/2
Well, now you know how I feel about the Titans and the Chargers looked good last Monday night. They give a lot, but the West Coast home advantage is important in this case. Phillip Rivers looked more comfortable than I thought and LT is the best running back in the game. They beat the Titans like they beat the Raiders.
PICK: San Diego – 11 1/2
Washington at Dallas – 5 1/2
Without Portis, the Redskins don’t amount to much. He is listed as doubtful and would be foolish to try and recover from his injury quickly. Dallas looked pretty good last week, but Bledsoe will fight like hell to keep his job, which could be in jeopardy. Playing in front of a Texas crowd, Dallas wins.
PICK: Dallas – 5 1/2
Pittsburgh to Jacksonville, choose ’em
What’s up with the Steelers and the pick em games? The Jags look good, but the Steelers are better. Again, on national television, the best team wins.
CHOICE: Pittsburgh
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